发电技术 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (4): 651-693.DOI: 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.25090

• 新型电力系统 • 上一篇    下一篇

未来能源技术展望

龙潇1, 张晋宾2, 陈令特2   

  1. 1.三峡国际能源投资集团有限公司,北京市 通州区 101109
    2.电力规划设计总院,北京市 西城区 100120
  • 收稿日期:2025-02-20 修回日期:2025-05-26 出版日期:2025-08-31 发布日期:2025-08-21
  • 作者简介:龙潇(1989),女,硕士,高级经济师,研究方向为发电技术与能源投资管理,long_xiao@ctg.com.cn
    张晋宾(1967),男,硕士,正高级工程师,研究方向为电力技术、数字技术及智库管理等,jbzhang@eppei.com
    陈令特(1996),男,博士,工程师,研究方向为海上新能源发电技术,ltchen@eppei.com

Prospects for Future Energy Technologies

Xiao LONG1, Jinbin ZHANG2, Lingte CHEN2   

  1. 1.China Three Gorges International Corporation, Tongzhou District, Beijing 101109, China
    2.China Electric Power Planning and Engineering Institute, Xicheng District, Beijing 100120, China
  • Received:2025-02-20 Revised:2025-05-26 Published:2025-08-31 Online:2025-08-21

摘要:

目的 发展未来能源不仅是当前国际竞争的焦点,也是我国构建新型能源体系、高质量推进中国式现代化建设的必由之路。基于此,探讨了未来能源技术类别、研究现状以及未来发展趋势,旨在为相关领域的研究和政策制定提供参考。 方法 基于国际权威机构报告及全球典型项目数据,采用多维度分析方法,系统介绍了绿色低碳电源、生物能、合成烃燃料及氢能的全球研发现状。通过技术成熟度分级框架,结合经济性指标、政策支持力度及商业化案例,重点解析了各技术路线的关键突破、应用瓶颈与协同潜力,并构建了跨技术类别的能源转型路线图谱。 结果 随着技术进步和政策支持力度增大,可再生能源在电力结构中的占比得到显著提升,成为主要电源的进程持续加快。同时,生物能、氢能、合成烃燃料、可控核聚变等新兴技术的发展将为能源转型提供新的解决方案。 结论 研究结果为推动能源绿色低碳转型提供了科学依据,对能源领域相关人员研究和制定相关政策具有重要参考价值。

关键词: 新型能源体系, 能源转型, 碳中和, 低碳, 发电技术, 可再生能源, 生物能, 氢能, 合成烃燃料, 可控核聚变

Abstract:

Objectives Developing future energy is both a current focus of international competition and an essential pathway for China to build a new-type energy system and advance Chinese-style modernization with high-quality development. Therefore, this study explores the categories, research status, and future development trends of energy technologies, aiming to provide references for research and policy making in related fields. Methods Based on reports from international authoritative institutions and data from typical global projects, multidimensional analysis methods are used to systematically introduce the global R&D status of green low-carbon power sources, bioenergy, synthetic hydrocarbon fuels, and hydrogen energy. Through the technology readiness level framework, combined with economic indicators, policy support, and commercial case studies, this study focuses on analyzing the key breakthroughs, application bottlenecks, and synergistic potential of different technological pathways, and establishes a systematic cross-technological roadmap for energy transition. Results Driven by technological advancements and policy support increase, the proportion of renewable energy in the power structure has significantly increased, accelerating the transition toward becoming the main power source. Additionally, the development of emerging technologies including bioenergy, hydrogen energy, synthetic hydrocarbon fuels, and controlled nuclear fusion will provide new solutions for energy transition. Conclusions The findings provide a scientific basis for promoting green and low-carbon energy transition, offering important references for researchers and policymakers in the energy field.

Key words: new-type energy system, energy transition, carbon neutrality, low-carbon, power generation technology, renewable energy, bioenergy, hydrogen energy, synthetic hydrocarbon fuels, controlled nuclear fusion

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