Power Generation Technology ›› 2021, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (5): 568-575.DOI: 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.21103
• Smart Grid • Previous Articles Next Articles
Guoqiang JI(), Shanshan WU(
), Xiandong TAN(
), Baoguo SHAN(
)
Received:
2021-08-24
Published:
2021-10-31
Online:
2021-10-13
CLC Number:
Guoqiang JI, Shanshan WU, Xiandong TAN, Baoguo SHAN. Analysis and Prospect of China's Power Supply and Demand Situation in 2021[J]. Power Generation Technology, 2021, 42(5): 568-575.
项目 | 2020年 | 2021年 | ||
低方案 | 中方案 | 高方案 | ||
GDP增速 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 |
第一产业增速 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.0 |
第二产业增速 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 8.5 |
第三产业增速 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 9.5 | 10.0 |
固定资产投资增速 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
社会消费品零售总额增速 | −3.9 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 |
出口增速 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 |
Tab. 1 China's economic forecast in 2021 %
项目 | 2020年 | 2021年 | ||
低方案 | 中方案 | 高方案 | ||
GDP增速 | 2.3 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 |
第一产业增速 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 4.0 |
第二产业增速 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 8.5 |
第三产业增速 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 9.5 | 10.0 |
固定资产投资增速 | 2.9 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 8.0 |
社会消费品零售总额增速 | −3.9 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 |
出口增速 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 |
项目 | 2020年用电量增速/% | 2021年用电量及其增速预测 | |||||||
低方案 | 中方案(推荐方案) | 高方案 | |||||||
用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | 用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | 用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | ||||
全社会 | 3.1 | 81 495 | 8.5 | 82 246 | 9.5 | 83 010 | 10.5 | ||
第一产业 | 10.2 | 927 | 7.9 | 935 | 8.9 | 944 | 9.9 | ||
第二产业 | 2.5 | 54 996 | 7.4 | 55 508 | 8.4 | 55 918 | 9.2 | ||
第三产业 | 1.9 | 14 229 | 17.7 | 14 349 | 18.7 | 14 531 | 20.2 | ||
居民生活 | 6.9 | 11 343 | 3.6 | 11 453 | 4.6 | 11 617 | 6.1 |
Tab. 2 China's power consumption forecast in 2021
项目 | 2020年用电量增速/% | 2021年用电量及其增速预测 | |||||||
低方案 | 中方案(推荐方案) | 高方案 | |||||||
用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | 用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | 用电量/(亿kW·h) | 增速/% | ||||
全社会 | 3.1 | 81 495 | 8.5 | 82 246 | 9.5 | 83 010 | 10.5 | ||
第一产业 | 10.2 | 927 | 7.9 | 935 | 8.9 | 944 | 9.9 | ||
第二产业 | 2.5 | 54 996 | 7.4 | 55 508 | 8.4 | 55 918 | 9.2 | ||
第三产业 | 1.9 | 14 229 | 17.7 | 14 349 | 18.7 | 14 531 | 20.2 | ||
居民生活 | 6.9 | 11 343 | 3.6 | 11 453 | 4.6 | 11 617 | 6.1 |
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