发电技术

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长输供热管网配置大温差机组的技术经济分析与优化

薄其明1,2,周旭3,严新荣4,冯彦皓1,周懿1*,林雪茹1,5,钟崴1   

  1. 1.浙江大学能源工程学院,浙江省 杭州市 310027;2.中国华电集团有限公司宁夏公司,宁夏回族自治区 银川市 750002;3.济南热力集团有限公司,山东省 济南市 250011;4.华电电力科学研究院有限公司,浙江省 杭州市 310030;5.浙大城市学院信息与电气工程学院,浙江省 杭州市 310015
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2024YFB4206500);浙江省“尖兵”“领雁”研发攻关计划(2025C02237)。

Techno-Economic Analysis and Optimization of Configuring Large Temperature Difference Units in Long-Distance Heating Network

BO Qiming1,2, ZHOU Xu3, YAN Xinrong4, FENG Yanhao1, ZHOU Yi1*, LIN Xueru1,5, ZHONG Wei1   

  1. 1.College of Energy Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, Zhejiang Province, China; 2.Ningxia Branch, China Huadian Corporation Ltd., Yinchuan 750002, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China; 3.Jinan Heating Group Co., Ltd., Jinan 250011, Shandong Province, China; 4.Huadian Electric Power Research Institute Co., Ltd., Hangzhou 310030, Zhejiang Province, China; 5.School of Information and Electrical Engineering, Hangzhou City University, Hangzhou 310015, Zhejiang Province, China
  • Supported by:
    Project Supported by National Key R&D Program of China (2024YFB4206500); Zhejiang Provincial “Pioneer” and “Leading Goose” R&D Program (2025C02237).

摘要: 【目的】为解决长输供热管网中大温差机组配置的经济性评估难题,提出经济距离的概念,通过技术经济优化模型,定量分析不同管网距离下配置大温差机组的适用性。【方法】基于全生命周期成本分析,建立包含投资安装成本与运行成本的经济性模型,结合管网水力热力约束,建立含上层规划设计与下层运行策略的双层优化框架,该框架将机理模型与深度神经网络代理模型耦合,以实现优化求解。以某长输供热管网为算例,研究回水温度、管径、热负荷对经济距离的影响,得到配置大温差机组的经济距离。【结果】案例分析表明,配置大温差机组的经济性在很大程度上取决于管网长度,且存在经济距离。回水温度为30 ℃的DN1000管网,其经济距离为58.34 km,超过该距离后,运行成本节约量大于投资成本增加量。经济距离与管径呈非线性相关,管径过大或过小均会使经济距离减小;回水温度或热负荷增大均会使经济距离增大。【结论】该双层优化框架可定量评估长输供热管网配置大温差机组的经济距离,为工程规划技术经济分析提供决策依据。

关键词: 长输供热管网, 大温差机组, 经济距离, 技术经济优化, 双层优化, 全生命周期, 深度神经网络

Abstract: [Objectives] To address the challenge of economic evaluation for the configuration of large temperature difference units in long-distance heating networks, this study proposes the concept of economic distance. The aim is to quantitatively analyze the applicability of configuring large temperature difference units with different network distances through a techno-economic optimization model. [Methods] Based on the life cycle cost analysis, an economic model is established, incorporating investment and installation costs and operational costs. By integrating hydraulic and thermal constraints of the network, a bi-level optimization framework comprising upper-level planning and design and lower-level operational strategies is developed. The framework couples a mechanistic model with a deep neural network surrogate model to achieve optimal solutions. A case study of a long-distance heating network is conducted to investigate the effects of return water temperature, pipe diameter, and heating load on the economic distance, and the economic distances for configuring large temperature difference units are obtained. [Results] The results indicate that the economic performance of configuring large temperature difference units significantly depends on network length, with a distinct economic distance existing. For a DN1000 pipe at a return water temperature of 30 ℃, the economic distance is 58.34 km. Beyond this distance, the savings in operational costs outweigh the increase in investment costs. The economic distance exhibits a non-linear correlation with pipe diameter. Excessively large or small pipe diameters will reduce the economic distance. An increase in either return water temperature or heating load will increase the economic distance. [Conclusions] This bi-level optimization framework enables quantitative evaluation of the economic distance for configuring large temperature difference units in long-distance heating networks, thereby providing decision-making support for techno-economic analysis in engineering planning.

Key words: ">long-distance heating network, large temperature difference units, economic distance, techno-economic optimization, bi-level optimization, life cycle, deep neural network