Uncertainty Analysis of Gas Turbine Overall Performance Based on Monte Carlo Method

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Uncertainty Analysis of Gas Turbine Overall Performance Based on Monte Carlo Method

Power Generation Technology Vol. 46, Issue 1, Pages: 126-134(2025)

Power Generation and Environmental Protection|Updated：2026-06-29

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- Uncertainty Analysis of Gas Turbine Overall Performance Based on Monte Carlo Method
- “Based on the Monte Carlo method and the thermodynamic process mechanism equation system of gas turbines, an overall performance uncertainty analysis model of gas turbines was established to study the quantitative propagation characteristics of component efficiency and flow uncertainty, providing a theoretical basis for accurate identification of gas turbine operating status and attention to key components.”
- Affiliations：
  1.Research Center of Fluid Machinery Engineering and Technology, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013, Jiangsu Province, China
  2.Advanced Gas Turbine Laboratory, Institute of Engineering Thermophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Haidian District, Beijing 100190, China
  3.Jiangsu Yanhai Chemical Co., Ltd., Yancheng 224500, Jiangsu Province, China
  4.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Haidian District, Beijing 100190, China
  5.Nanjing Institute of Future Energy System, IET, CAS, Nanjing 211135, Jiangsu Province, China
- Author bio：
- Funds：
  Special Funds for Science and Technology Innovation of Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality in Jiangsu Province (Major S&T Demonstration)(BE2022614)
- DOI：10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.24032
  CLC：
- Revised：2024-05-18，
- Accepted：
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