基于事件树连锁故障推演和证据推理的制氢站设备风险评价

刘玉成, 杨源, 胡宇浩, 李雨航, 赵子泰, 马志勇, 董玉亮

Risk Assessment of Hydrogen Production Station Equipment Based on Event Tree Cascading Fault Deduction and Evidential Reasoning

Yucheng LIU, Yuan YANG, Yuhao HU, Yuhang LI, Zitai ZHAO, Zhiyong MA, Yuliang DONG

表4 电解槽连锁故障后果定量分析结果

Tab. 4 Quantitative analysis result of consequences of cascading faults in electrolytic cell

风险量化指标 电解槽损坏后果 氢气持续泄漏，大气扩散，碱液泄漏 氢气持续泄漏，遇明火、喷射火、闪火 氢气持续泄漏，遇明火，沸腾液体膨胀蒸汽爆炸、蒸汽云爆炸 人员伤亡 1 2 5 设备损失 1 2 2 电网影响 1 2 3 环境影响 2 2 4 经济影响 1 2 2 恢复时间 1 2 4