含海上风电-光伏-储能的多能源发输电系统可靠性评估
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高小童, 秦志龙, 高新宇
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Reliability Evaluation of Multi-Energy Generation and Transmission System With Offshore Wind Power-Photovoltaic-Energy Storage
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Xiaotong GAO, Zhilong QIN, Xinyu GAO
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表 1 不同模型拟合效果对比
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Tab. 1 Comparison of fitting effects of different models
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| 序号 | 模型 | AIC | BIC |
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| 1 | 单一静态Copula(Gumbel) | -6 584.33 | -5 969.10 | | 2 | 单一时变Copula(时变Gumbel) | -6 710.96 | -6 054.15 | | 3 | 混合静态Copula(Clayton+Gumbel+t) | -6 715.26 | -6 079.12 | | 4 | 混合时变Copula(时变Clayton+时变Gumbel+时变t) | -6 796.75 | -6 111.11 | | 5 | 基于C藤结构的单一静态Copula(Gumbel) | -6 740.26 | -6 023.35 | | 6 | 基于C藤结构的单一时变Copula(时变Gumbel) | -6 814.26 | -6 181.22 | | 7 | 基于C藤结构的混合静态Copula(Clayton+Gumbel+t) | -6 878.35 | -6 211.31 | | 8 | 基于C藤结构的混合时变Copula(时变Rotated Gumbel+时变SJC+时变t) | -6 963.10 | -6 277.64 |
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